Those are pretty big ifs though, huge ifs. With the right coach, any team could be a contender, too bad only about 25 of the 120 teams in FBS have the right coach. I don't see how Texas State is going to jump up and accomplish what Houston, SMU and TCU can't do, and they've been trying for decades, but Texas State is in such a better position to do it? I think the best case scenario for them is to be a quality mid major. It's better for them that way, if they were in the Big 12 they'd be 1-7 in conference every year, and playing other BCS conference teams in September giving them 2 or 3 more losses. As a mid major, they get to play a lesser schedule and have a shot at bowl games. Even getting to the level that Houston is at will be tough for them, much less an instate program from the Big 12.